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Westfalia
05-25-2011, 02:48 PM
http://sibitotique.blogspot.com/2011/05/things-that-you-can-do-in-order-to.html

Peak Oil (http://sibitotique.blogspot.com/2010/07/peak-oil.html)just like the subject of Man-Made Global Warming is a very controversial subject that may give many a very pessimistic outlook on the future. In this post I will make some suggestions to what you can do in order to prepare for world where the access to oil is not as high as we have gotten use to.

Personal Preparedness
1.) Learn About The Subject
If you don’t know anything about the subject get a overview of the subject. In order to get some basic understanding of the subject you can see a documentary like “Blind Spot (http://www.blindspotdoc.com/)” or “The End of Suburbia (http://www.endofsuburbia.com/)”. The videos from the Crash Course (http://www.chrismartenson.com/page/crash-course-one-year-anniversary) by Chris Martensson or ASPO TV (http://aspo.tv/) can also be a good place to get started.

2.) Get a Bike
A Bike is one of the most energy efficient ways to travel with muscle power. Many persons use their cars for short trips that might actually be faster to travel by bike. Using bikes does not only save money, it also increases your physical fitness and is good for your health.

3.) Get a Fuel Efficient Car
If you are dependent on a car to get around one way of reducing your vulnerability is to get a fuel efficient car. This way high fuel prices will have less of an impact on your personal situation. Other ways of reducing the cost of travel by car is to
• Always make sure that you have the right air pressure in you tiers
• Take an eco-driving course and learn how to drive as fuel efficient as possible
• Avoid driving at high speeds
• Car pool with other people if possible
• Do not drive more than necessary

4.) Your Home
If oil and energy process would rise there are steps you can take to reduce the economical impact that it will have on you. If you live in a cold climate increasing the insulation of your home can reduce the amount of energy required to keep it warm. Many also have high indoor temperatures, lowering the temperature inside by just a few degrees can save much energy. Examples of other actions that you can take to conserve energy:
• Take short showers and avoid baths
• Get low energy light bulbs
• Turn of lights, your TV, computer and other appliances when you don’t use them.
• Remember to check the energy efficiency when you buy electronics

5.) Food Consumption
If the oil prices would raise this might also increase the price of food. In many countries half of all food that is consumed gets thrown away today. If this applies to your personal situation this mean that you could basically be storing half of the food you are buying if you change your habits. In addition to this many in rich countries eat too many calories per day, not too few; overweight, heart disease and diabetes are much bigger problems than famine.

6.) Prioritize
Today much of the things that we consume are things that we might not actually need. Not too long ago it was common to pass on possessions like clothing, footwear, tools and other possessions from one generation to the next. When it comes to Crisis Preparedness it’s easy to get too focused on specific types of items. It is important that you balance your effort over multiple fields.
• When you buy something try to invest in quality items that will last over time
• Learn how to repair clothing and other items when they break
• Take care of your possessions; tools will last much longer if you use them with care.

7.) Start a Garden
For many Survivalist and Preppers the dream is to have a farm or retreat and be self sufficient. However, for most this will remain a dream, over half of the world population lives in cities and the number of people living in cities increase every year. If you live in a house and you can start a garden and grow some of the food that you eat on your own, you might not be able to be completely self sufficient. But you can produce some parts of what you need. Even people living in apartments can grow some of the food or spices that they need on their own, do what you can with what you got. You may not be able to be self sufficient, but you can most likely add some food or spices to your diet.

8.) Your Mindset
Peak Oil as an idea that stands in direct opposition against much of what we are taking for granted today. Many of the people in the world today have grown up during a period when a rise in the standard of living and an incredibly fast technological development has taken place. The idea of continued growth is deeply rotted in our minds, institutions, media and political parties. Many are not even aware of the concept of Peak Oil even if they know that fossil fuels are non renewable recourses. We still expect them to last forever.

The US already imports around half of the oil that’s being used every year today and domestic production is sinking every year and have been doing so since 1970 when the US Oil Production peaked. How would the American society look like if no imports were possible and only half of the amount of oil currently being used was available? How would it look if only a forth was available?

Accepting that this could become the case in maybe just a few decades or even less time is very hard to comprehend and imagine. We might find solutions so that the access to energy will remain high, but we might just simply have to adjust to a new situation. Changing ones perception and mindset is the most critical aspect in order to be able to make this transition.

In Your Community
9.) Watch a documentary about the subject with your friends or family.
“Home (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqxENMKaeCU&feature=watch-now-button&wide=1)” or The National Geographic “2210 The Collapse?” based on the book by Jared Diamond are two suggestions, the first can be accessed for free on YouTube (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqxENMKaeCU&feature=watch-now-button&wide=1). Some will likely refuse the possibility, but some will learn and understand the concept.

10.) Get Involved
Get engaged in the Transition Network (http://www.transitionnetwork.org/) or some other type of organization that work with these types of issues. There are people that are working with Peak Oil and to promote Sustainability – You could be one of them.

11.) Put Pressure On Your Politicians
Many may expect that politicians and other may have a much better understand of this type of issues when they in many cases have no idea about this type of potential problems. Put pressure on your politicians and informing them about the potential problem. Are they aware about this type of problems and what are they doing about it? There are cities and communities that are actively working to reduce their dependency on oil and that do prepare for the possible consequences of Peak Oil. Your City or Community could become one of them.

Summary
Peak Oil is a subject that easily can get the most optimistic person pessimistic. The knowledge about the subject is still not very widespread even if the attention surrounding the subject has been increased the last years. Many within the Peak Oil Movement like Michael Ruppert the founder of CollapseNet are making very negative forecasts and believe that a Collapse is only a few months away. The message is that disaster is imminent.

Personally I have no idea what tomorrow will bring, so don’t see any point in making predictions. The worst could happen, there are no guarantees. But it is also possible that solutions can be found. Peak Oil is a Man-Made problem, we have created the problem and it is my belief that we can overcome it. If we can spread knowledge about the problem and change our ways we can at a minimum reduce the impact that Peak Oil might have both for our societies and for us as individuals. What happens tomorrow is not written, it’s up to us to decide how it will play out.

So What Would You Add To This List?

Merlin
05-25-2011, 03:01 PM
1) Replace old, inefficient appliances (refrigerators, water heaters, furnaces, etc.) with new efficient models.

2) Replace the brittle seals on your old thermopane casement windows with new flexible seals. Install new weather stripping on exterior doors.

3) While you're adding insulation to your attic, insulate your basement walls as well.

Bocephus
05-25-2011, 03:04 PM
No such thing as "Peak Oil". Most oil is abiotic not from fossils. Big oil is pushing the fossil fuel theory as a way to drive up prices.

Merlin
05-25-2011, 03:30 PM
The source of the oil has nothing whatsoever to do with whether the industry has approached the maximum extraction rate. Even if oil is abiotic, it does not appear to refill reservoirs quickly and companies have to drill ever deeper wells to recover product, making the oil ever more difficult and expensive to pump. When they reach the point that it takes a barrel of oil (energy) to pump a barrel from the center of the earth, there won't be a whole lot of pumping going on.

goldie40
05-25-2011, 05:14 PM
Just look on the bright side, we keep pumping oil out of the earth, burn it and send the fumes into the atmosphere opening up the ozone layer and at the same time making the earth lighter, soon we'll lighten it enough to send it spinning out of its orbit thru the hole in the ozone and spinning somewhere way out into some other galaxie.Prepare for the trip.

__hoot__
05-26-2011, 12:23 AM
Get a job spewing out peak oil dogsh!t for the Rockerfellers so that I too can get paid by the word

EO 11110
05-26-2011, 12:35 AM
how i prepare = study economics

price fixes peak oil

no central planning required

Westfalia
05-26-2011, 05:10 AM
Bosephus: I have heard that comment before. I have also heard that there is no Global Warming. But I have not seen any data that would support the notion that Oil Reservoirs just refill themselves.

If what you wrote is correct we would see that the production curves of the countries that have already peak in their production start going back up again.

Many countries, including the US has already peaked in their production. Do you really think that these counties would let the Saudis and the other major oil exporters make all the profits if they could produce more?

EO111110: I know that belief in the market and growth is the only accepted truth in the world today. I however see a number of problems with your assumption. First of all: Our society is way too focused on short term profits, our perspective of time is very short. The Just In Time society that we live in does not expect that anything can change.

The second problem is that we have NEVER experienced a situation like this before. Civilizations before us have made the same mistake, they have consumed more resources than their environment could supply in a long term perspective and Overshoot. But this could of course never happen to us, we have the market. The history of the Easter Islands represent a worst case scenario that could become true for our civilization as whole.

brosil
05-26-2011, 08:43 AM
Build my own thorium reactor and tell the peak oilers to buzz off.

Nickelless
05-26-2011, 02:25 PM
The source of the oil has nothing whatsoever to do with whether the industry has approached the maximum extraction rate. Even if oil is abiotic, it does not appear to refill reservoirs quickly and companies have to drill ever deeper wells to recover product, making the oil ever more difficult and expensive to pump. When they reach the point that it takes a barrel of oil (energy) to pump a barrel from the center of the earth, there won't be a whole lot of pumping going on.

You hit the nail on the head, Merlin. Just because in theory we will never extract all available oil doesn't mean it can be extracted by using less energy than it provides after extraction.

Irons
05-26-2011, 02:36 PM
I'm going to convert my V-10 diesel dually to run exclusively on spotted owls and high sulpher coal.

minimus
05-26-2011, 06:26 PM
Don't worry Irons, dinosaurs will go out with the dinosaurs ...

Unclad Lad
05-26-2011, 09:26 PM
When they reach the point that it takes a barrel of oil (energy) to pump a barrel from the center of the earth, there won't be a whole lot of pumping going on.

Respectfully, I disagree. It isn't simply the BTUs in petroleum that make it so attractive--it is also that these fuels are so portable. The all-electric car or scooter is still a strictly local deal, whereas an efficient diesel car can drive 600 miles on a tank. And since you can't attach a windmill to a moving vehicle for juice, the energy cost to get those hydrocarbons will exceed the 1:1 point. How far, I don't know.

Nickelless
05-27-2011, 05:14 AM
Respectfully, I disagree. It isn't simply the BTUs in petroleum that make it so attractive--it is also that these fuels are so portable. The all-electric car or scooter is still a strictly local deal, whereas an efficient diesel car can drive 600 miles on a tank. And since you can't attach a windmill to a moving vehicle for juice, the energy cost to get those hydrocarbons will exceed the 1:1 point. How far, I don't know.

With all due respect, what kind of an absolute idiot besides the federal government would purposely and continuously spend more than they take in in any given resource? Once the cost of extracting oil exceeds the BTU output of the oil itself, how can the cost of extraction be maintained? It can't. Eventually the party who is losing money and/or resources extracting oil will stop wanting to lose money.

A while back I ran ads on Google for writing/editing services. After a month I was paying out more than double what I was taking in from the ads, so I stopped running them. If I hadn't, I would've gone broke much faster. It's the same way with oil--negative net returns are a nice way of saying you'll lose your shirt if you don't stop.

Merlin
05-27-2011, 07:48 AM
Strictly speaking, I guess it depends upon whether today's petroleum extraction industry could be powered with electricity, whether nuclear, solar or windpower based. Those deep-water drilling rigs in the gulf are not powered with wind turbines or solar panel arrays; they're powered with petroleum fuels. So until technology changes, energy returned on energy invested does matter. And I'm not sure the required changes are even possible. I do have an open mind though, if someone with authoritative sources would like to convince me.

Unclad Lad
05-27-2011, 01:18 PM
With all due respect, what kind of an absolute idiot besides the federal government would purposely and continuously spend more than they take in in any given resource?

Answered your own question, didn't you?

The Feds could subsidize the cost for any number of reasons, valid or not. To prevent the loss of jobs in the petroleum industry; to prevent the collapse of OTR long-haul trucking, especially in area where the new "green" infrastructure hasn't reached; for any number of manufacturing industries that rely on dragon blood for their raw materials. All of the above have powerful lobbyists.

After I don't know how many decades of restriction, regulation, taxation, and strong public antipathy, the tobacco industry is still going strong and making a profit. If something that harmful and completely unnecessary can still be going strong, what makes you think oil production will stop?

aggregatio mentium
05-27-2011, 02:05 PM
Limit exposure and decrease risk. Consider investing in other sources of life.

JoBob
05-28-2011, 03:40 PM
No such thing as "Peak Oil". Most oil is abiotic not from fossils. Big oil is pushing the fossil fuel theory as a way to drive up prices.

Do you actually believe that oil is not from fossils? Really? I mean, with the total lack of scientific evidence? Just some Russian Ph.D.'s one-shot opinion makes the abiotic source a fact?

Golly!

minimus
05-28-2011, 08:05 PM
Do you actually believe that oil is not from fossils? Really? I mean, with the total lack of scientific evidence? Just some Russian Ph.D.'s one-shot opinion makes the abiotic source a fact?

Even denial requires rationalization.

JoBob
05-29-2011, 09:58 AM
It's the same way with oil--negative net returns are a nice way of saying you'll lose your shirt if you don't stop.

Agreed. We all know that idiots are in charge and probably will continue to be.

As long as the oil companies can get the consumer to pay for the cost of drilling and a profit, they will drill and suck the last ounce of petroleum from the ground. When it becomes so expensive the average consumer cannot afford the product, we will have to do without. Maybe a bicycle will be our only replacement. Governments will keep spending our money to buy the expensive oil to run their operations and they will eventually be too expensive. Feeding the defense machines will be about the last uses for oil. I suspect we will have a financial collapse before the oil runs out. At that point I doubt it will make much of a difference to us average folks.

The real problem is that no one wants to believe that oil will run out. Even if it did, there is Deus ex machina...God from the machine... someone will pull a magic rabbit from a hat at the last minute and replace oil with something cheap, easy, and inexhaustible.

Don't count on it.


Don't

__hoot__
05-31-2011, 12:53 AM
Silly Boys............you believe their peaker horsesh!t, don't you?


Ask yourself what the South Africans did when the world totally cut off all their oil supplies just a few decades ago. Did they end up pushing carts down the road in the ultimate sudden peaker end of the world scenareeeoooo? HELL NO! They did what the germans did in WWII and produced abundant synthetic petroleum from coal. It ran all their cars and trucks very nicely at a very fair price! .......................and now some of you are going to tell me we've seen "peak" coal hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaaaaaa

Unclad Lad
05-31-2011, 07:15 PM
They made the synthetic petroleum, hoot, because they had no other options. It was a very expensive move, and only justifiable on a war footing. I'm pretty sure the conversion process has been improved, but the essence of peak oil isn't about actually running out of oil, but reaching the point where the cost of extraction is so much greater than the value of the extracted product that it ceases to be a "resource" in the manner it is now.

I can't conceive us ever draining all the oil out of the planet. I can see a point where oil is so expensive that it is used only for the products that give a favorable rate of return, like for certain drugs or chemicals. Even now, we are starting to see plastics made from corn. As you point out, we have a lot of coal to go through. We also have enormous reserves of natural gas, and we can get oil from shale sands. But again, getting high-energy liquid fuel from shale and corn have costs that crude oil never did.

Irons
05-31-2011, 07:24 PM
The mainland US has more oil than any other country in the the world and everybody knows it.

The first politician that just claims to want to stick a straw in it will have gas at $1. a gallon, so it won't happen

Wake up .

Nickelless
05-31-2011, 07:25 PM
The mainland US has more oil than any other country in the the world and everybody knows it.

The first politician that just claims to want to stick a straw in it will have gas at $1. a gallon, so it won't happen

Wake up .

I'm intrigued, Irons. Got a link?

Irons
05-31-2011, 07:44 PM
I'm intrigued, Irons. Got a link?

Just looking at USFS maps where I live show thousands of capped oil wells, guys I know did oil exploration all over Michigan in the 1990's. Sure there may not be huge wells here but there are in many other places.

All a leader would have to do is claim the US is going to pump every barrel of oil and develop every well and we would get a gigantic price drop even if we didn't pump one extra barrel. Announce we are sick of it and we are going to process oil shale. TELL the world we are going to open up the oil fields in Alaska. That is all it would take.

So it won't happen.

http://www.nextenergynews.com/news1/next-energy-news2.13s.html

http://www.americanfreepress.net/html/u_s__has_massive_oil.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves_in_the_United_States

__hoot__
06-03-2011, 12:28 AM
They made the synthetic petroleum, hoot, because they had no other options. It was a very expensive move, and only justifiable on a war footing. I'm pretty sure the conversion process has been improved, but the essence of peak oil isn't about actually running out of oil, but reaching the point where the cost of extraction is so much greater than the value of the extracted product that it ceases to be a "resource" in the manner it is now.

I can't conceive us ever draining all the oil out of the planet. I can see a point where oil is so expensive that it is used only for the products that give a favorable rate of return, like for certain drugs or chemicals. Even now, we are starting to see plastics made from corn. As you point out, we have a lot of coal to go through. We also have enormous reserves of natural gas, and we can get oil from shale sands. But again, getting high-energy liquid fuel from shale and corn have costs that crude oil never did.

Forget the exact break even price, but think it was around $50 a barrel for the SA syncrude to be profitable when I looked into it three four years ago; anyhow the company that did it didn't go under when the world lifted the petroleum ban and licensed their process to China who is building 6 plants. Hope you know that it costs only 50 cents a barrel for BIG OIL to put Saudi or Iraqi crude on ships and with that low cost of operation thay can put a real hurt on any alternative fuel source.

Heaven save us from plastics made from corn! Was just tradeing horror storys with a auto mechanic about what rodents will do to wireing insolation plastics made from that crap. THEY EAT IT

JoBob
06-03-2011, 03:12 PM
The mainland US has more oil than any other country in the the world and everybody knows it.

The first politician that just claims to want to stick a straw in it will have gas at $1. a gallon, so it won't happen

Wake up .

That is one of the most extravagantly bizarre, unsubstantiated claims I have ever heard! I'm certain you have proof?

Saguaro Kid
06-03-2011, 03:17 PM
Why can't they use a volcano to make steam to run a generator?

Nickelless
06-03-2011, 03:21 PM
Why can't they use a volcano to make steam to run a generator?

It's possible in theory, but you don't want to end up like this guy:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Randall_Truman#Celebrity

Unclad Lad
06-04-2011, 01:00 AM
Heaven save us from plastics made from corn! Was just tradeing horror storys with a auto mechanic about what rodents will do to wireing insolation plastics made from that crap. THEY EAT IT

Rodents would eat the petro plastics, too. But my point was that, whether a perfect substitute or not, plastics can be made from other substances than oil.