PDA

View Full Version : Head of World Bank: "Far from clear" that Eurozone is ready for looming catastrophe



<SLV>
06-03-2012, 07:27 AM
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2153324/Markets-facing-rerun-Great-Panic-2008-Head-World-Bank-warns-Europe-heading-danger-zone-bleakest-day-global-economy-year.html

'Beware a rerun of the Great Panic of 2008': Head of World Bank warns Europe is heading for 'danger zone' as world markets suffer bleakest day of the year so far

By Hugo Duncan

PUBLISHED: 10:49 EST, 1 June 2012 | UPDATED: 03:02 EST, 2 June 2012

World Bank President Robert Zoellick

Warning: Robert Zoellick said Europe is heading to the 'danger zone'

The head of the World Bank yesterday warned that financial markets face a rerun of the Great Panic of 2008.

On the bleakest day for the global economy this year, Robert Zoellick said crisis-torn Europe was heading for the ‘danger zone’.

Mr Zoellick, who stands down at the end of the month after five years in charge of the watchdog, said it was ‘far from clear that eurozone leaders have steeled themselves’ for the looming catastrophe amid fears of a Greek exit from the single currency and meltdown in Spain.

The flow of money into so-called ‘safe havens’ such as UK, German and US government debt turned into a stampede yesterday.

In Berlin the two-year government bond yield fell below zero for the first time, with the bizarre result that jittery international investors are now paying – rather than being paid – for lending to Germany.

There was a raft of dismal economic news from around the world, with manufacturing output falling in Britain and Europe, unemployment jumping in the eurozone and America, and fast-emerging economies such as Brazil and China showing signs of running out of steam.

The FTSE 100 index fell 60.67 points to a new 2012 low of 5260.19 in London and the pound tumbled against the US dollar to $1.5234 – a level not seen since January.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 200 points in New York, wiping out all its gains this year.

Borrowing costs in Spain and Italy have soared back above 6 per cent towards the 7 per cent level that triggered bailouts in Greece, Ireland and Portugal.

Mr Zoellick warned that the coming months could be as bad as the collapse of US investment bank Lehman Brothers in 2008.
Dow Jones
FTSE 100

Plunging: The Dow Jones (left) opened down and the FTSE 100 (right) hit a year-long dip yesterday
Desperate: European leaders scrambled to stop the financial crisis in Spain spiralling out of control and infecting other countries such as Italy

Desperate: European leaders scrambled to stop the financial crisis in Spain spiralling out of control and infecting other countries such as Italy

He said: ‘Events in Greece could trigger financial fright in Spain, Italy and across the eurozone. The summer of 2012 offers an eerie echo of 2008.

‘If Greece leaves the eurozone, the contagion is impossible to predict, just as Lehman had unexpected consequences.’
BP TO RETREAT FROM RUSSIA

BP is on the verge of a humiliating exit from its lucrative Russian business, following repeated rows with its oligarch partners.

The oil giant said it was looking to sell its 50 per cent stake in joint venture TNK-BP.

This could raise £23billion for BP but would have a huge impact on its profitability because the venture has been highly lucrative.

TNK-BP’s oilfields account for 29 per cent of BP’s production and a quarter of its oil reserves.

Its latest spat with the other half of TNK-BP – Alfa Access Renova (AAR) – began with BP’s attempt to form a partnership with rival, Kremlin-backed oil firm Rosneft to drill in the Arctic.

AAR – a group of four oligarchs: Mikhail Fridman, German Khan, Viktor Vekselberg and Leonid Blavatnik – angrily blocked the deal.

Fears are mounting that Spain will be crippled by its banking sector and will be the next domino to fall.

Mr Zoellick said: ‘Eurozone leaders need to be prepared to recapitalise banks. In the eurozone, the guarantees of some national sovereigns are unlikely to be sufficient and only that of the “euro-sovereign” will suffice.

‘It is far from clear that eurozone leaders have steeled themselves for this step. Eurozone leaders need to be ready.

'There will not be time for meetings of finance ministers to discuss the outlook and debate the politics.

'In panicked markets, investors flee to safe assets, sparking other flames.’

Yesterday investors scrambling for lifelines piled into German, US and UK government debt.

Not only did the German two-year bond yield fall below zero for the first time, but also the yield on ten-year UK gilts – the benchmark borrowing cost for the British Government – hit a record low of 1.44 per cent.

The yield on the equivalent US treasuries fell to 1.46 per cent – the lowest in over 200 years of records.

‘People’s objective is the return of their capital, not the return they get on their capital,’ said Sam Hill, a strategist at Royal Bank of Canada.

÷ Ireland has accepted tough new budget controls, as stipulated under the European fiscal treaty, in a referendum which saw 60 per cent of voters backing the deal.

-------------------------------------------------

BTW... his term expires at the end of June.

From Wikipedia:

Robert Bruce Zoellick is the eleventh president of the World Bank, a position he has held since July 1, 2007. He was previously a managing director of Goldman Sachs, United States Deputy Secretary of State (resigning on July 7, 2006) and U.S. Trade Representative, from February 7, 2001 until February 22, 2005.

President George W. Bush nominated Zoellick on May 30, 2007 to replace Paul Wolfowitz as President of the World Bank. On June 25, 2007, Zoellick was approved by the World Bank's executive board....

United States Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, the former U.S. First Lady and former U.S. Senator from New York, has frequently been mentioned as a possible successor to President Zoellick at the end of his term in mid-2012. Clinton has publicly expressed the desire to hold no further political office (specifically ruling out another four years as U.S. Secretary of State in a possible second Obama term). Anonymous sources cited by Huffington Post claimed that Clinton had been in discussions with the White House about leaving her present position to assume leadership of the World Bank. The White House declined to comment and a spokesman for Clinton was quoted by Huffington Post as denying that Clinton wanted the job or had held conversations with the White House about it.

On March 23, 2012, President Barack Obama announced that the United States would nominate Jim Yong Kim as the next president of the World Bank.

JessMathers
06-12-2012, 11:26 AM
I guess I didn't realize a bond rate could drop below 0. Does it even make sense that people would pay to lend money to Germany? I guess I don't understand the economics behind it.

phideaux
06-12-2012, 11:44 AM
I guess I didn't realize a bond rate could drop below 0. Does it even make sense that people would pay to lend money to Germany? I guess I don't understand the economics behind it.

Yup, makes no sense. Better to just stuff the cash into your mattress.

But big institutions can't do that. They have to park their money somewhere. I guess their computer algorithms are telling them that every other investment is too risky compared to the potential return. As the saying goes, they're more concerned with return of capital rather than return on capital.

Welcome to GIM, JM! http://goldismoney2.com/images/smilies/standard/15_1_70v.gif

jogslvr
06-12-2012, 11:58 AM
Yup, makes no sense. Better to just stuff the cash into your mattress.

But big institutions can't do that. They have to park their money somewhere. I guess their computer algorithms are telling them that every other investment is too risky compared to the potential return. As the saying goes, they're more concerned with return of capital rather than return on capital.

Welcome to GIM, JM! http://goldismoney2.com/images/smilies/standard/15_1_70v.gif

This would seem extremely gold bullish. What's the problem? Are they such short time play'ahs that they're afraid of $1400 before the climb to $3000?

Goldhedge
06-12-2012, 11:59 AM
I guess I didn't realize a bond rate could drop below 0. Does it even make sense that people would pay to lend money to Germany? I guess I don't understand the economics behind it.

I'm no expert in this area, but my simple thinking tells me if you invest in a bond at 1% and they print the hell out of the paper money the bond is valued in, it really could go into negative returns.

Easy math: You buy a $100 dollar bond at 1% interest. In 10 years you get $110 back. The problem is they doubled the money supply (or more) in that time frame. The purchase value is negative.

phideaux
06-12-2012, 12:04 PM
This would seem extremely gold bullish. What's the problem? Are they such short time play'ahs that they're afraid of $1400 before the climb to $3000?

Agreed.

But for most institutions, gold isn't even on their radar (algorithm).

And for a lot of these hedge funds and banksters, the long term is 30 minutes. http://goldismoney2.com/images/smilies/standard/confused_ma.gif

Aurumag
06-13-2012, 10:13 AM
Agreed.

But for most institutions, gold isn't even on their radar (algorithm).

And for a lot of these hedge funds and banksters, the long term is 30 minutes.


When it comes to High Speed Trading Algorithms, even 30 minutes is a long time.

An entire day's trading content from 1980 now takes place in 30 milliseconds.

With such mind-boggling speed also come irrevocable errors which cannot be retrieved from the ethereal monetary realm.