Brokered convention taking shape
Denver Conspiracy Examiner
New developments are dashing any hopes Romney would escape the RNC unscathed and emerge on the other side as the easy Republican nominee.
Surfacing Thursday was a damaging and revealing run-down of the circumstances revolving around who is and isn't a “bound” delegate and what may end up being a game changer for Paul.
With 11 states now in the books for Paul, to Romney's 18 and only 11 states left to start their primary or caucus process, Ron Paul has seemingly "stolen" enough delegates in the undecided states and will likely gain enough in states to come, virtually assuring a brokered convention at the RNC in August.
In addition to developments stating there may not actually be such thing as a “bound” delegate at the national level after all, Ron Paul may actually be truly nipping at Romney's heels, despite recent establishment media reports that state otherwise.
Current, typical “estimates” show Romney around 200 or fewer delegates away from locking up the nomination. The problem with that scenario is the fact that Romney has actually only officially won 18 states thus far and may not be able to gain enough delegates between now and Utah's last primary in June to garner the required 1,144 delegates necessary to win the nomination.
Aside from automatically discarding Santorum's and Gingrich's seven total states and all those combined delegates as not yet being countable for either Paul or Romney, it's starting to look as if there will not be enough delegates left for Romney to have a chance of winning the nomination outright.
Especially considering many of the remaining “at-large” delegates will be largely split between Paul and Romney as the race continues to unfold. Romney is likely to continue winning the majority of the delegates in the states where winner takes all, and Paul is likely to continue winning the states that hold a separate delegate selection process, much like the 11 states he's already taken.
The combination of the delegates Paul has won in those 11 states, the delegates taken in the seven states Gingrich and Santorum combined to win, in addition to all the delegates Paul is going to continue to win in the states that have yet to officially conclude, all combine to a total likely superseding the amount Romney could afford the other candidates to reach in order to get to 1,144 by Tampa.
There's only so many available.
The media still generally refuses to update the actual totals, based on the current manipulation tactic that has people largely believing many delegates are “bound” to vote for the candidate that won their particular state, typically in proportion to how much that candidate may have initially won by, among other deciding factors.
As it turns out, that may not actually be the case at all. It may turn out that taking the time to figure all that out may have actually been, instead, a waste of time .
The current perception given by elite media is based on there being a rule in place “binding” party delegates to vote for the candidate that won certain “bound” states, whereas actual RNC rules prohibit state election rules or party platforms from having any influence on the eventual delegates and how they decide to vote at the RNC.
Those laws were already clearly explained by the RNC in 2008 when this very issue arose, ironically enough, regarding a John McCain delegate in Utah that wanted to switch their vote to, none other than, Mitt Romney when they reached the RNC.
Attorneys for the RNC have clearly stated the Republican and Democratic parties are, in essence, non-binding, non-governmental private clubs and do not hold any weight with regard to actual GOP election laws and the 'official' caucus that takes place at the RNC, every 4 years.
According to FairVote.org, Jenneifer Sheehan, Legal Counsel for the RNC, plainly stated in a 2008 letter to Nancy Lord, Utah National Committeewoman, several weeks before the convention,
“The RNC does not recognize a state's binding of national delegates, but considers each delegate a 'free agent' who can vote for whoever they choose.This means, much to Romney's dismay, of all the delegates that finally make it to Tampa, just as it was determined to be the case for one of his '08 delegates, are all allowed to vote for anyone they choose, even if that happens to be Rick Santorum, for instance.
The national convention allows delegates to vote for the individual of their choice, regardless of whether the person's name is officially placed into the nomination or not.”
The twist to the story however is that the vast majority of the delegates emerging from the states thus far, that aren't Romney's, have actually stated to be voting for Ron Paul.